Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 1.706037 1.791675 1.880120 1.978476 2.085018 2.197191 2.324543
2026-01-11 1.592319 1.716856 1.850885 2.006622 2.183587 2.379601 2.614785
2026-01-18 1.509154 1.663585 1.835726 2.043600 2.290247 2.576708 2.939351
2026-01-25 1.416033 1.589267 1.788026 2.035965 2.341375 2.711416 3.203673
2026-02-01 1.324390 1.508375 1.724552 2.001676 2.354212 2.797609 3.414718
2026-02-08 1.228476 1.415116 1.638524 1.931188 2.313316 2.809019 3.525960
2026-02-15 1.162862 1.354053 1.587005 1.898650 2.316151 2.874846 3.715619
2026-02-22 1.115229 1.311944 1.555726 1.888562 2.345881 2.977289 3.967230
2026-03-01 1.065379 1.263968 1.513576 1.860270 2.347069 3.037775 4.161166
2026-03-08 1.001110 1.194358 1.439533 1.783992 2.274782 2.984292 4.168252
2026-03-15 0.970382 1.166597 1.418765 1.778743 2.302323 3.079724 4.426420
2026-03-22 0.964406 1.170609 1.439955 1.832371 2.418589 3.320292 4.963919
2026-03-29 0.927195 1.133649 1.406679 1.810748 2.427112 3.402271 5.255726
2026-04-05 0.903770 1.114351 1.396880 1.822804 2.488927 3.579638 5.764630
2026-04-12 0.885591 1.101345 1.395121 1.846574 2.571459 3.803197 6.420085
2026-04-19 0.857697 1.073661 1.371073 1.834961 2.595414 3.926667 6.896756
2026-04-26 0.825648 1.038848 1.335077 1.802597 2.581847 3.979557 7.228556
2026-05-03 0.787201 0.993638 1.282067 1.740662 2.513131 3.920460 7.281092
2026-05-10 0.760590 0.964278 1.251061 1.711757 2.499308 3.966197 7.608292
2026-05-17 0.741105 0.944345 1.233048 1.702420 2.518857 4.080235 8.146896
2026-05-24 0.718749 0.919481 1.206607 1.677845 2.508925 4.132553 8.532641
2026-05-31 0.686862 0.879893 1.156672 1.612427 2.420108 4.009990 8.380745
2026-06-07 0.672413 0.865236 1.143906 1.607762 2.443071 4.129296 8.996274